Assumption
W-L: (19-18) PR = 93.9046Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 926 A Robert Morris L (13-22, 94.3) 2- 6 927 A Robert Morris L (13-22, 94.3) 2- 4 1003 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 1- 5 1004 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 0- 3 1010 A Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 2- 0 1011 H Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 1- 1 1017 H LIU WHA (18-19, 93.1) 3- 2 1018 H LIU WHA (18-19, 93.1) 2- 1 1031 A Franklin Pierce WHA (23-14, 94.2) 3- 2 1101 H Franklin Pierce WHA (23-14, 94.2) 1- 2 1101 H Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 2- 3 1107 A Stonehill WHA (18-20, 93.7) 1- 4 1108 H Stonehill WHA (18-20, 93.7) 3- 0 1114 A Stonehill WHA (18-20, 93.7) 6- 1 1115 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 5- 0 1121 H Saint Anselm WHA (19-21, 93.9) 3- 4 1122 A Saint Anselm WHA (19-21, 93.9) 1- 2 1122 A Franklin Pierce WHA (23-14, 94.2) 0- 7 1129 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 2- 6 1130 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 1- 4 1205 A Sacred Heart WHA (14-27, 93.4) 2- 2 1206 H Sacred Heart WHA (14-27, 93.4) 4- 2 109 A Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 1- 2 110 H Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 4- 1 116 A LIU WHA (18-19, 93.1) 3- 2 117 A LIU WHA (18-19, 93.1) 0- 1 123 A Franklin Pierce WHA (23-14, 94.2) 2- 0 124 H Franklin Pierce WHA (23-14, 94.2) 3- 3 130 H Stonehill WHA (18-20, 93.7) 7- 0 131 A Stonehill WHA (18-20, 93.7) 2- 4 206 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 6- 1 207 H Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 9- 0 213 H Saint Anselm WHA (19-21, 93.9) 5- 3 214 A Saint Anselm WHA (19-21, 93.9) 4- 2 220 H Sacred Heart WHA (14-27, 93.4) 3- 4 221 A Sacred Heart WHA (14-27, 93.4) 3- 2 227 H Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 2- 1 228 H Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 1- 2 301 H Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 4- 2 304 H Saint Anselm WHA (19-21, 93.9) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
926 A Robert Morris 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.18
927 A Robert Morris 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.18
1003 H New Hampshire 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.98
1004 H New Hampshire 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.98
1010 A Post 2- 0 2 1 0.81
1011 H Post 1- 1 0 2 -1.96
1017 H LIU 3- 2 1 1 -0.20
1018 H LIU 2- 1 1 1 -0.20
1031 A Franklin Pierce 3- 2 1 -1 1.65
1101 H Franklin Pierce 1- 2 -1 0 -1.12
1101 H Post 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.96
1107 A Stonehill 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.81
1108 H Stonehill 3- 0 3 1 + 2.42
1114 A Stonehill 6- 1 5 0 ++ 5.19
1115 A Merrimack 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.95
1121 H Saint Anselm 3- 4 -1 0 -1.43
1122 A Saint Anselm 1- 2 -1 0 -0.66
1122 A Franklin Pierce 0- 7 -7 -1 --- -6.35
1129 A Holy Cross 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.57
1130 A Merrimack 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.05
1205 A Sacred Heart 2- 2 0 0 -0.14
1206 H Sacred Heart 4- 2 2 1 1.09
109 A Post 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.19
110 H Post 4- 1 3 2 1.04
116 A LIU 3- 2 1 0 0.57
123 A Franklin Pierce 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.65
124 H Franklin Pierce 3- 3 0 0 -0.12
130 H Stonehill 7- 0 7 1 +++ 6.42
131 A Stonehill 2- 4 -2 0 -1.81
206 H Boston College 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.55
207 H Post 9- 0 9 2 +++ 7.04
213 H Saint Anselm 5- 3 2 0 1.57
214 A Saint Anselm 4- 2 2 0 + 2.34
220 H Sacred Heart 3- 4 -1 1 -1.91
221 A Sacred Heart 3- 2 1 0 0.86
227 H Post 2- 1 1 2 -0.96
228 H Post 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.96
301 H Post 4- 2 2 2 0.04
304 H Saint Anselm 1- 2 -1 0 -1.43
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 A Franklin Pierce 0- 7 -7 -1 --- -6.35 926 A Robert Morris 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.18 1003 H New Hampshire 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.98 1101 H Post 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.96 1107 A Stonehill 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.81 1129 A Holy Cross 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.57 1130 A Merrimack 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.05 109 A Post 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.19 228 H Post 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 130 H Stonehill 7- 0 7 1 +++ 6.42 207 H Post 9- 0 9 2 +++ 7.04 1114 A Stonehill 6- 1 5 0 ++ 5.19 1115 A Merrimack 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.95 206 H Boston College 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.55 1108 H Stonehill 3- 0 3 1 + 2.42 123 A Franklin Pierce 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.65 214 A Saint Anselm 4- 2 2 0 + 2.34 |
Assumption Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Assumption | |
| Lindenwood | Lindenwood | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Lindenwood | |
| Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| RIT | RIT | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | RIT | |
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | Robert Morris | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | Syracuse | |
| Brown | Brown | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Brown | |
| Clarkson | Clarkson | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 0) | Clarkson | |
| Colgate | Colgate | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Colgate | |
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Dartmouth | |
| Harvard | Harvard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Harvard | |
| Princeton | Princeton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Princeton | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | ||
| RPI | RPI | RPI 2- 2 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St. Lawrence | St. Lawrence | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | St. Lawrence | |
| Union | Union | Union 4- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Yale | Yale | Yale 3- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Boston College | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 2- 1) | Boston University | |
| Connecticut | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 0) | Connecticut | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Maine | Maine | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 1) | Maine | |
| Merrimack | Assumption | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 3) | Assumption | |
| New Hampshire | New Hampshire | New Hampshire | ||
| Northeastern | Northeastern | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Northeastern | |
| Providence | Assumption | Assumption 4- 5 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Vermont | Vermont | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 3) | Vermont | |
| Franklin Pierce | Franklin Pierce | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 6- 4) | Franklin Pierce | |
| LIU | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Post | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Sacred Heart | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Saint Anselm | Saint Anselm | Saint Anselm | ||
| St.Michael's | St.Michael's | St.Michael's | ||
| Stonehill | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Bemidji State | Bemidji State | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Bemidji State | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota 3- 0 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Minnesota State | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Minnesota State | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| St. Cloud State | St. Cloud State | St. Cloud State | ||
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Wisconsin |
PowerWise = 8
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 2- 6 -5.57 2.37 0.39 0.90 -2.34
0 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 2- 4 -5.57 2.37 0.39 0.90 -2.34
0 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 1- 5 -4.59 3.34 -0.39 0.90 -2.25
0 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 0- 3 -4.59 3.34 -0.39 0.90 -2.25
0 A Post (11-28, 92.3) 2- 0 -7.57 1.00 0.39 0.90 2.51
0 H Post (11-28, 92.3) 1- 1 -7.57 1.00 -0.39 0.90 203.43
0 H LIU (18-19, 93.1) 3- 2 -6.81 1.12 -0.39 0.90 1.33
0 H LIU (18-19, 93.1) 2- 1 -6.81 1.12 -0.39 0.90 1.33
0 A Franklin Pierc (23-14, 94.2) 3- 2 -5.73 2.20 0.39 0.90 4.67
0 H Franklin Pierc (23-14, 94.2) 1- 2 -5.73 2.20 -0.39 0.90 -2.77
0 H Post (11-28, 92.3) 2- 3 -7.57 1.00 -0.39 0.90 -3.60
0 A Stonehill (18-20, 93.7) 1- 4 -6.19 1.74 0.39 0.90 -2.63
0 H Stonehill (18-20, 93.7) 3- 0 -6.19 1.74 -0.39 0.90 2.45
0 A Stonehill (18-20, 93.7) 6- 1 -6.19 1.74 0.39 0.90 3.84
0 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 5- 0 -6.43 1.50 0.39 0.90 3.42
0 H Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.9) 3- 4 -6.04 1.89 -0.39 0.90 -2.91
0 A Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.9) 1- 2 -6.04 1.89 0.39 0.90 -2.56
0 A Franklin Pierc (23-14, 94.2) 0- 7 -5.73 2.20 0.39 0.90 -2.42
0 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 2- 6 -4.95 2.98 0.39 0.90 -2.07
0 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 1- 4 -6.43 1.50 0.39 0.90 -2.73
0 A Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.4) 2- 2 -6.52 1.41 0.39 0.90 203.43
0 H Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.4) 4- 2 -6.52 1.41 -0.39 0.90 1.86
0 A Post (11-28, 92.3) 1- 2 -7.57 1.00 0.39 0.90 -3.25
0 H Post (11-28, 92.3) 4- 1 -7.57 1.00 -0.39 0.90 1.11
0 A LIU (18-19, 93.1) 3- 2 -6.81 1.12 0.39 0.90 2.73
0 A LIU (18-19, 93.1) 0- 1 -6.81 1.12 0.39 0.90 -2.91
0 A Franklin Pierc (23-14, 94.2) 2- 0 -5.73 2.20 0.39 0.90 4.67
0 H Franklin Pierc (23-14, 94.2) 3- 3 -5.73 2.20 -0.39 0.90 203.43
0 H Stonehill (18-20, 93.7) 7- 0 -6.19 1.74 -0.39 0.90 2.45
0 A Stonehill (18-20, 93.7) 2- 4 -6.19 1.74 0.39 0.90 -2.63
0 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 6- 1 -5.06 2.87 -0.39 0.90 4.50
0 H Post (11-28, 92.3) 9- 0 -7.57 1.00 -0.39 0.90 1.11
0 H Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.9) 5- 3 -6.04 1.89 -0.39 0.90 2.72
0 A Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.9) 4- 2 -6.04 1.89 0.39 0.90 4.12
0 H Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.4) 3- 4 -6.52 1.41 -0.39 0.90 -3.12
0 A Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.4) 3- 2 -6.52 1.41 0.39 0.90 3.25
0 H Post (11-28, 92.3) 2- 1 -7.57 1.00 -0.39 0.90 1.11
0 H Post (11-28, 92.3) 1- 2 -7.57 1.00 -0.39 0.90 -3.60
0 H Post (11-28, 92.3) 4- 2 -7.57 1.00 -0.39 0.90 1.11
0 H Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.9) 1- 2 -6.04 1.89 -0.39 0.90 -2.91
------
611.33
|
winning pts = 50.3001 losing points = -49.2676
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------